Hello Traders, I hope you are all well and ready for a full week in the market. The bear market rally has come to an end with a classic rejection at the 200 moving average. The question on everyone’s...
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Hello Traders, I hope you are well and off to a successful trading week. During the past month, the Nasdaq-100 has rallied over 20% from its June lows and that has left many participants wondering if the market has...
Hello Traders, Welcome to this week’s newsletter. Earnings season is starting and it’s time for some serious reflection. Are the earnings going to disappoint and thus we will see SPY and other indexes moving lower? Or, are we going...
Hello Traders, Welcome to this week’s newsletter. In today’s newsletter, I am going to discuss one of my biggest positions going into Q3 and my thinking behind it. Last week, we experienced a rally as expected, and now all...
Hello Traders, Welcome to this week’s newsletter. The market is now in a rally mode after one of the worst weeks in history. This short-term rally could have been expected as market internals were demonstrating an oversold condition. This...
Hello Traders, Welcome to this week’s newsletter. Tomorrow is the second day of the Fed’s FOMC meeting and this is the first time in the last few years that the market is completely clueless on what the Fed will...
Hello Traders, I hope you are well and enjoyed your weekend. The bear market continues. Firstly, I hope everyone is staying safe in this market and following strict risk management. This is not a market to take excessive risk...
Hello Traders, I hope you are well and enjoyed your weekend. We are entering another week of uncertainty in the market. Are we heading for stagflation (high inflation and low growth)? Is inflation slowing down? The answers to these...
Hello Traders, I hope you are well and enjoyed your weekend. While I know this will be a difficult week for looking at your long-term portfolio, I want to provide some commentary that could potentially help in the short...
Hello Traders, I hope you are well and enjoyed your weekend. Over the weekend, Berkshire Hathaway held their annual meeting, this time live, with an audience for the first time in 3 years. Both Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger...
Hello Traders, I hope you are well and enjoyed your weekend. We are heading into another choppy week in the market with all eyes on big tech earnings. Major heavy hitters in the market will be reporting, with Microsoft...
Hello Traders, I hope you are well and enjoyed your long weekend. We are heading into another choppy week in the market with all eyes on big tech earnings. The Big Picture One of the primary things I am...
Hello Traders, Hello to all of our new subscribers and welcome to this week’s newsletter. This is where we discuss the market and use a top-down approach to come up with a trading opportunity. The Big Picture The theme...
Hello All, Welcome to this week’s newsletter and my apologies for missing the past few weeks. You can expect this newsletter on Monday’s every week moving forward. The theme remains the same, we discuss macro and big picture and...
Hello All, At the time of writing this email early Monday morning, the market seems to have bounced very nicely and is slowly climbing back up all the ground it lost in January. The question now is whether or...
Hello All, Welcome to this week’s newsletter. We are heading into another week of sell offs due in part to geopolitical and rate risks. We did, however, see some signs that recovery was on the way when, late on...
Hello All, Happy MLK day. Welcome to the second newsletter of 2022. Last week turned out to be quite interesting based in part on everything that was emanating forth from the Fed, including of course the inflation numbers. Despite...
Hello All, Welcome to the first newsletter of 2022. I am planning to send this newsletter out every Monday in order to help traders navigate the trading week with some data-driven insights. This week is all about the inflation...
Hello All, Welcome to 2021’s last newsletter. This is a very important week given Tuesday and Wednesday’s Fed meeting. Aside from that, we are seeing continued pressure on higher valuation stocks as well as inflow back into utilities, staples,...
Hello All, Welcome to this week’s newsletter. Last week was definitely tough for the market, with defensive sectors being the only ones closing slightly in the green. As I mentioned on Friday, the fact that money is continuing to...
Hello All, Welcome to this week’s newsletter. We are entering into a new volatility regime of VIX being above 20. I personally do not think that VIX will stay above 20 for long, but it is important to respect...
Hello all, Firstly, I want to wish a very happy Thanksgiving to everyone who is celebrating the holiday! Due to this being a shorter week, there is not quite as much going on in the market. The Big Picture...
Hello all, I hope you had an amazing weekend. We are getting closer to the end of the year and historically, December and November are great months for the stock market. I am sure you have heard of the...
Do you remember the market crash of 2020? Well me neither! We had one of the fastest recoveries on record, and in a span of 2 years the market has doubled in value! This has most investors on their...
For the past 20 years, June has been one of the worst months of the year with only 40% of the time being positive. Whether this year will follow the trend is dependent on two major economic data: the...
This past Wednesday, inflation numbers were released and, as expected, they created jitters in the market. The speed at which prices rose month over month resulted in a major sell off. We were fully hedged by being long VIX,...
When we were rebalancing our portfolio in early December, we looked at many reports by investment banks in order to gain a sense of what the S&P 500 was expected to return at the end of this year. The...
President Joe Biden recently proposed a $2 trillion infrastructure bill to repair America’s crumbling infrastructure – an infrastructure that has earned a C- score from the American Society of Civil Engineers. Biden elaborated that his plan is to “…...
Long QQQ Short The VIX There has been an ongoing debate in the investment industry when it comes to value and growth. Value had a fantastic run after the dotcom bubble burst in 2000. However, the last few years...
From Steep Yield Curve to Tax Breaks: What caused the 2021 and 2016 sell-offs, and can we predict how the market will bounce back? The markets appear to be rebounding this week after a few weeks of selling off,...
SPACs were the hottest thing in 2019 and 2020, however, in the first months of 2021, they have failed to outperform the S&P 500. So, what is the reason behind the recent underperformance of SPACs and are we seeing...
In this week’s newsletter, I am going to discuss the impact of rising rates on the market. We’ve seen a massive correction in many of the hot tech stocks that had run up by over 100%. In some cases,...
In the first week of September 2020, retail traders (trading less than 10 contracts) made $11.5 billions worth of trades in call contracts, 9 time the weekly average. In comparison, U.S. consumer spent $91 billions on lottery tickets in...
So who has been the biggest winner in this pandemic? Looking at the Russell 1000 index, it is prominent that companies with lower leverage on their balance sheets, have been able to outperform their counterparts with higher leverage. While...
Is fixed income as an asset class no longer able to provide ballast against equity sell-offs? With zero lower bound interest rates(ZLB), the investors fear rates will not be able to fall far enough to provide the safety expected...